National Security Estimate
Key findings of the Iraq National Security Estimate have been posted (pdf) at the Director of National Intelligence web site.
Josh Marshall and colleagues have links to early comment and reaction.
Important points from TPM commenters:
*It is a civil war but in some ways it is worse than just civil war, since other kinds of violent conflict are also going on.
*Iraq’s neighbors, such as Iran, are not significant drivers of the violence, which is internally generated.
In other words, Negroponte’s shop has shot down everything Tony Snow was sent out by Karl Rove to say for the past year.